Online Archive of University of Virginia Scholarship
Using Machine Learning to Assess Cancer Care Needs in Virginia; Addressing Cancer Inequities in Virginia: A Community-Based Approach3 views
Author
Turriago-Lopez, Gabriela, School of Engineering and Applied Science, University of Virginia
Advisors
Vullikanti, Anil, PV-BII-Biocomplexity Initiative, University of Virginia
Norton, Peter, EN-Engineering and Society, University of Virginia
Abstract
The technical project analyzes county-level healthcare demand and supply for the state of
Virginia. Using publicly available APCD data, the project aims to identify hotspots and predict
future healthcare demand. Extrapolating insurance data, it utilizes ICD-10 Diagnosis, ICD-10
Procedural Codes, and CPT Procedural Codes to aggregate and predict county-level cancer
counts. It uses LSTM as a baseline and more complex models (this is in progress) to predict
cancer counts per county several months in advance. Furthermore, it utilizes SaTScan’s built-in models for spatial anomaly detection, identifying anomalous counties based on the year’s cancer counts. These analytics models help determine areas of elevated cancer burden and predict cancer counts.
The sociotechnical research explores how social groups in Virginia have responded to
cancer disparities. As federal and state governments have fallen short, further burdening
healthcare systems in medically underserved areas, community organizations, nonprofits, and peer-led groups have emerged to help bridge the gap between isolated communities and care. Through education, outreach, trust-building, and reducing cost barriers, social groups have helped expand access to critical healthcare services, such as screening and treatments, thereby helping mitigate cancer disparities.
Turriago-Lopez, Gabriela. Using Machine Learning to Assess Cancer Care Needs in Virginia; Addressing Cancer Inequities in Virginia: A Community-Based Approach. University of Virginia, School of Engineering and Applied Science, BS (Bachelor of Science), 2025-12-12, https://doi.org/10.18130/dp74-aa72.